St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a specific 24-hour period starting on June 14, 2025, and ending at 8 PM on June 15, 2025. The forecast highlights the influence of a dominant weather system, a broad ridge, which typically promotes stable atmospheric conditions. This ridge is anticipated to bring relatively dry weather, but its interaction with lower-level moisture carried by moderate to fresh winds introduces the possibility of periodic cloud cover and showers. This interplay between the stable ridge and the influx of moisture is the key factor shaping the forecast.

Temperatures are expected to range between a high of 30°C (86°F) and a low of 23°C (73°F). This moderate temperature range reflects the influence of the ridge in suppressing extreme temperature fluctuations. The forecast doesn’t specify the timing of these temperature extremes, but it’s typical for high temperatures to occur during the afternoon and low temperatures during the early morning hours. The overall temperature profile suggests a comfortably warm day and a mild night.

The forecast for June 14th’s night predicts partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, characterized as a “slight chance.” This low probability of precipitation suggests that while some areas might experience brief showers, most locations will likely remain dry. The partly cloudy conditions indicate that the ridge is effectively suppressing widespread cloud development, allowing for periods of clear sky.

Moving into June 15th, the forecast calls for partly cloudy skies again, but with a significantly increased chance of showers, at 60% or a “moderate chance.” This heightened probability suggests that showers are more likely to occur and could be more widespread than on the previous night. The increased moisture and potential for shower activity may be associated with the continued interaction between the ridge and the lower-level moisture flow.

Wind conditions are expected to be from the east at speeds ranging from 17 to 31 km/h (10 to 20 mph), with the possibility of gusts reaching up to 48 km/h (30 mph). These moderate to fresh winds are likely responsible for transporting the low-level moisture that interacts with the ridge, creating the potential for shower activity. The forecast of possible higher gusts indicates that wind speeds could temporarily increase, potentially influencing the intensity and distribution of any developing showers.

Sea conditions are predicted to be moderately choppy, with wave heights ranging from 1.5 to 2.1 meters (4 to 6 feet). This sea state is consistent with the forecast wind speeds, which can generate waves of this size. Mariners and individuals engaging in water activities should be aware of these conditions and exercise caution. Finally, the forecast provides sunrise and sunset times for June 15th, with sunrise at 5:37 am and sunset at 6:46 pm. These timings provide a general indication of daylight hours and can be useful for planning outdoor activities.

This extended summary breaks down the provided weather forecast into greater detail, elaborating on the interplay of atmospheric factors and providing context for the predicted conditions. It emphasizes the influence of the broad ridge, the role of low-level moisture, and the resulting expectations for temperature, cloud cover, precipitation, wind, and sea state. The extended length allows for a more comprehensive understanding of the forecast, potentially beneficial for individuals planning activities sensitive to weather conditions during the specified timeframe.