St Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This weather forecast, valid until 8:00 PM on Saturday, July 26, 2025, predicts a moderate chance of showers for the specified period, primarily influenced by an incoming tropical wave. The forecast details the anticipated temperature range, wind conditions, sea state, and sunrise/sunset times for the following day. Today’s temperatures are expected to peak at a high of 34°C (93°F) and dip to a low of 24°C (75°F). The forecast indicates a 40% chance of showers tonight, increasing to a 60% chance tomorrow. This suggests an increasing likelihood of precipitation as the tropical wave approaches and interacts with the existing atmospheric conditions.

The approaching tropical wave is the key driver of the predicted weather changes. Tropical waves are elongated areas of relatively low air pressure that move from east to west across the tropics. They often carry increased moisture and instability, leading to the formation of clouds and precipitation. The interaction of this tropical wave with the local environment will likely result in the increased shower activity forecasted for Saturday. The specific impacts of the wave, including the intensity and distribution of rainfall, will depend on its strength and the prevailing atmospheric conditions. While the forecast indicates a moderate chance of showers, localized heavier downpours cannot be entirely ruled out.

The wind forecast predicts easterly winds at speeds between 15 to 30 km/h (9 to 18 mph), with gusts potentially reaching up to 44 km/h (28 mph). These sustained easterly winds suggest the influence of the approaching tropical wave, which typically brings easterly flow ahead of its center. The potential for higher gusts indicates the possibility of localized stronger winds, likely associated with shower activity. Mariners and those engaging in outdoor activities should be mindful of the potential for increased winds and adjust their plans accordingly.

The sea state is predicted to range from 1.2 to 1.8 meters (4 to 6 feet), indicating moderately choppy conditions. This sea state is likely influenced by the increased wind speeds associated with the approaching tropical wave. Small craft operators and those planning coastal activities should exercise caution and be prepared for potentially rougher seas. Monitoring updated marine forecasts is recommended, as sea conditions can change rapidly depending on the development and movement of the tropical wave.

The forecast also provides sunrise and sunset times for Saturday, July 26, 2025. Sunrise is predicted at 5:48 AM, and sunset at 6:46 PM. These times provide useful information for planning outdoor activities and contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the day’s weather conditions. The duration of daylight hours is typical for this time of year.

In summary, this weather forecast indicates unsettled conditions due to an approaching tropical wave, resulting in a moderate chance of showers, increasing from 40% tonight to 60% tomorrow. Temperatures will range from 24°C (75°F) to 34°C (93°F). Easterly winds will prevail at 15 to 30 km/h (9 to 18 mph) with gusts to 44 km/h (28 mph), and seas will be moderately choppy at 1.2 to 1.8 meters (4 to 6 feet). Sunrise is at 5:48 AM and sunset at 6:46 PM on Saturday. This information allows residents and visitors to plan their activities accordingly and be prepared for the potential impacts of the approaching tropical wave.