St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a specific geographical region, likely a group of islands, covering the period from the evening of July 28, 2025, to the evening of July 29, 2025. The forecast highlights the transition from the influence of a passing tropical wave to more stable atmospheric conditions. Initially, the remnants of the tropical wave, characterized by lingering moisture and instability, contribute to a moderate chance of showers, primarily during the evening of July 28th. As the night progresses, these conditions are expected to improve, leading to partly cloudy to cloudy skies. This shift marks the beginning of a more stable weather pattern.

The dominant weather feature for July 29th is a high-pressure ridge settling over the area. High-pressure systems generally bring stable atmospheric conditions and fair weather. However, the forecast notes the presence of shallow low-level patches embedded within a moderate to fresh wind flow. These low-level disturbances, despite the overall stability, maintain a moderate chance of brief passing showers, especially during the evening hours. This interplay between the stabilizing influence of the high-pressure ridge and the destabilizing effect of the low-level patches results in a forecast characterized by generally fair to partly cloudy skies with intermittent cloudy spells and the possibility of short-lived showers.

The temperature forecast for July 29th predicts a high of 33°C (91°F) and a low of 24°C (75°F). This relatively high diurnal temperature range is typical of tropical and subtropical climates. The wind is predicted to be from the east-southeast direction, blowing at speeds between 13 and 26 km/h (8 to 16 mph), with calmer periods anticipated overnight. This consistent wind direction and speed further indicate the influence of the high-pressure system, which typically generates steady winds. The sea state is forecast to be relatively calm, with waves reaching heights of 1 to 1.5 meters (3 to 5 feet), reflecting the generally stable atmospheric conditions.

The forecast details transitionary weather patterns. The initial influence of the tropical wave, marked by moisture and instability, gives way to the stabilizing effect of a high-pressure ridge. This transition creates a balance between relatively fair weather and the potential for brief shower activity. The persistence of a moderate chance of showers throughout the forecast period underscores the role of the low-level disturbances embedded within the wind flow. These disturbances, despite the overall stability provided by the high-pressure system, retain the potential to trigger localized showers.

The detailed specifications of wind direction and speed, sea state, and temperature range provide a comprehensive overview of the anticipated weather conditions. The east-southeast wind direction, combined with moderate speeds, points towards the consistent influence of the high-pressure system. The calm sea state further corroborates the presence of stable atmospheric conditions. The provided temperature range suggests a typical diurnal variation for a tropical or subtropical climate, with warm daytime temperatures and comfortable nighttime temperatures. The sunrise and sunset times, scheduled for 5:49 am and 6:45 pm respectively, complete the comprehensive weather forecast.

This detailed description of the weather conditions, including the transition between weather systems, temperature fluctuations, wind patterns, and sea state, provides a comprehensive outlook for the specified period. The forecast emphasizes the interplay of various atmospheric factors, resulting in a balanced prediction of generally fair weather punctuated by the possibility of brief showers. The inclusion of specific details like sunrise and sunset times adds further value to the forecast, offering a complete picture of the anticipated environmental conditions.