St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a specific, albeit unspecified, island location, valid from January 1, 2025, up to 8:00 am on January 2, 2025. The overarching theme is one of transition: a predominantly dry and stable atmospheric condition prevailing during the day, gradually giving way to increased moisture and a higher likelihood of showers overnight. The forecast provides a comprehensive overview, covering temperature ranges, cloud cover, precipitation probability, wind conditions, sea state, and sunrise/sunset times. This information allows residents and visitors to plan their activities accordingly, taking necessary precautions given the existing High Surf Advisory.

The daytime hours of January 1st are predicted to be partly cloudy, with temperatures ranging from a comfortable low of 17°C (63°F) to a warm high of 30°C (86°F). The probability of showers during the day is relatively low, estimated at 20%, classified as a slight chance. This suggests that while isolated showers might occur, they are unlikely to be widespread or prolonged. The dominant atmospheric condition is one of dryness and stability, inhibiting the formation and development of significant shower activity.

As the day transitions into night, a notable shift in atmospheric conditions is anticipated. While the sky is expected to remain partly cloudy, the chance of showers increases to 40%, categorized as a moderate chance. This higher probability is attributed to an influx of moisture into the atmosphere, potentially triggering more widespread and persistent shower activity, particularly during the early morning hours of January 2nd.

Wind conditions throughout the forecast period are expected to be relatively moderate, blowing from the east-northeast at speeds ranging from 7 to 19 km/h (5 to 12 mph). These speeds are punctuated by periods of lighter winds, indicating some variability in wind strength. The east-northeast direction suggests that the wind will be originating from a relatively cool and dry source, though the increasing moisture content might modulate this influence as the night progresses.

Sea conditions are characterized by moderate wave heights, ranging from 1.2 to 1.8 meters (4 to 6 feet), with swells reaching up to 5 feet. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect, urging beachgoers to exercise caution. This advisory highlights the potential for hazardous conditions along the coastline, likely due to the combination of wave heights and swells, posing risks to swimmers and other coastal activities.

The forecast concludes with information on sunset and sunrise times. Sunset on January 1st is predicted to occur at 5:49 pm, marking the end of daylight hours. Sunrise on January 2nd is expected at 6:41 am, signaling the start of the new day. These timings provide valuable information for planning outdoor activities, particularly those sensitive to daylight availability.

In summary, the forecast presents a picture of transitioning weather conditions. The day is characterized by predominantly dry and stable conditions with a low chance of showers and warm temperatures. However, as we move into the night and early morning, an increase in atmospheric moisture is expected to elevate the probability of showers. Moderate winds and sea conditions persist, with a High Surf Advisory urging caution for beachgoers. The forecast provides a comprehensive guide for planning activities around these evolving weather patterns.