St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands (BVI) for a 24-hour period commencing on January 10, 2025, and concluding at 8:00 am on January 11, 2025. The forecast predicts generally fair to partly cloudy conditions with a moderate chance of brief showers. This weather pattern is attributed to the interaction of a weak frontal boundary situated near the islands and shallow low-level atmospheric patches moving across the region, carried by a light to moderate wind flow. This combination creates conditions conducive to scattered shower activity throughout the forecast period.

Daytime conditions on January 10, 2025, are expected to be partly sunny with intermittent brief cloudy spells. There is a 40% chance, considered a moderate probability, of a short-lived shower occurring primarily in the late afternoon. Temperatures are anticipated to reach a high of 31°C (88°F), providing warm conditions, before dropping to a low of 17°C (63°F) during the night. This significant temperature drop indicates a transition to cooler, more comfortable conditions as the sun sets.

As night falls on January 10, 2025, the skies will remain partly cloudy initially, with a continuing 40% chance of brief showers, mainly expected before midnight. Following this period, the cloud cover is predicted to decrease, leading to mostly clear skies and a noticeable drop in temperature, making for a chilly night. This transition from partly cloudy to mostly clear suggests a clearing of the atmospheric conditions, reducing the likelihood of precipitation and allowing for radiative cooling of the surface.

Wind conditions are forecast to be from the north at speeds ranging from 7 to 19 km/h (5 to 12 mph). The wind is expected to become variable or even calm at times, indicating a fluctuation in both speed and direction. This variability suggests the influence of localized factors and the relatively weak nature of the prevailing wind patterns. The relatively low wind speeds contribute to generally calm sea conditions, favorable for maritime activities.

Sea conditions are predicted to be relatively calm, with wave heights ranging from 1 to 1.5 meters (3 to 5 feet). These conditions are favorable for boating and other water-based activities, presenting minimal hazards due to wave action. The calm seas reflect the influence of the light winds and the absence of any significant weather systems that would generate larger waves.

The forecast provides the precise times for sunset and sunrise. Sunset on January 10, 2025, is scheduled for 5:54 pm, marking the end of daylight hours. Sunrise on the following day, January 11, 2025, is expected at 6:43 am, signaling the beginning of a new day. These timings are specific to the geographical location and reflect the Earth’s rotation and its position relative to the sun during this time of year. The relatively early sunset and late sunrise indicate the shorter daylight hours characteristic of the winter season in the Northern Hemisphere.

In summary, this detailed weather forecast for the Leeward Islands and BVI anticipates generally fair to partly cloudy conditions interspersed with a moderate chance of brief showers. These conditions are driven by the interaction of a weak frontal boundary and passing low-level atmospheric patches. Temperatures will transition from a warm high of 31°C (88°F) during the day to a chilly low of 17°C (63°F) at night. Winds are expected to be light and variable, resulting in calm seas with wave heights between 1 and 1.5 meters (3 and 5 feet). The forecast provides specific timings for sunset and sunrise, allowing for planning of activities around these times. This comprehensive forecast provides residents and visitors with the information necessary to prepare for the prevailing weather conditions during the specified 24-hour period.