St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast
This detailed weather forecast pertains to a specific 24-hour period, commencing at 8:00 am on January 11, 2025, and concluding at 8:00 am on January 12, 2025. The forecast covers a region characterized by islands, suggesting a coastal or maritime environment. The dominant weather pattern is one of partial cloud cover with a low probability of precipitation. Temperatures are anticipated to range from a daytime high of 31°C (88°F) to a nighttime low of 17°C (63°F), indicative of a mild subtropical or tropical climate. The overall atmospheric conditions are described as dry and stable, influenced by a weakening frontal trough. This suggests that any potential showers will be limited in both scope and intensity. The forecast highlights the presence of northerly swells impacting the coastlines, leading to elevated sea states and a high surf advisory.
The forecast elaborates on the specific weather conditions expected throughout the period. For both daytime and nighttime, the prediction is for partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, classified as a slight chance. This low probability of precipitation reinforces the overall assessment of dry and stable conditions. The limited shower activity can be attributed to the dissipating frontal trough, which minimizes the potential for significant atmospheric instability and moisture convergence required for widespread rainfall. The cloud cover itself is likely remnants of the frontal system, gradually clearing as the trough weakens.
The forecast specifies wind conditions as originating from the north to northeast, with speeds ranging from 9 to 19 km/h (6 to 12 mph). These relatively moderate winds are consistent with the generally stable atmospheric conditions. The northerly direction of the wind further supports the presence of northerly swells impacting the coastal regions. The wind speeds, while not excessively strong, are sufficient to contribute to the elevated sea state. The combination of wind and swell direction suggests a fetch over open water to the north of the islands, allowing the swells to build and propagate towards the coastline.
Sea conditions are described as reaching heights of 1.5 to 2.4 meters (5 to 8 feet) due to the northerly swells. This wave height, coupled with the northerly wind direction, warrants the issuance of a high surf advisory. The advisory serves as a warning to coastal residents and visitors of potentially hazardous conditions along the shore. High surf can create dangerous rip currents, strong undertows, and increased wave run-up, posing risks to swimmers, surfers, and other beachgoers. The advisory emphasizes the need for caution and awareness of the prevailing sea conditions.
The forecast concludes with astronomical data, providing the times for sunset and sunrise. Sunset on January 11, 2025, is predicted to occur at 5:55 pm, while sunrise on January 12, 2025, is expected at 6:43 am. This information is relevant for planning outdoor activities and provides a general indication of daylight hours. The timing of sunset and sunrise is influenced by the time of year and the geographical location of the islands, reflecting the Earth’s axial tilt and orbital position. The relatively short duration between sunset and sunrise further suggests a location within or near the tropics.
In summary, the forecast paints a picture of generally pleasant weather conditions for the specified 24-hour period. The dominant features include partly cloudy skies, mild temperatures, a low probability of showers, and moderate northerly winds. However, the presence of northerly swells generating high surf necessitates a high surf advisory, cautioning against potential coastal hazards. The overall forecast indicates a stable and relatively dry atmospheric environment, with the primary concern focused on the elevated sea state along the coastlines of the islands. This detailed information allows residents and visitors to make informed decisions regarding their activities during this period.
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