St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast, valid until 8:00 AM on Sunday, January 26, 2025, predicts generally stable conditions for the remainder of Saturday, January 25, 2025, and into the early hours of Sunday. The dominant weather feature influencing the forecast is a ridge of high pressure, which promotes sinking air (subsidence), thus suppressing the formation of extensive shower activity. This stable atmospheric environment is expected to persist, resulting in relatively consistent weather patterns. However, the forecast acknowledges the presence of low-level moisture being transported by the prevailing wind flow. This moisture, while not significant enough to cause widespread precipitation, could trigger brief, localized showers, adding an element of variability to the otherwise stable forecast. The overall expectation is for partly cloudy skies throughout the forecast period, with occasional interruptions by these quick, passing showers.

The temperature forecast for Saturday anticipates a daytime high of 30°C (86°F) and a nighttime low of 21°C (70°F). The relatively high temperatures, coupled with the presence of moisture, suggest a warm and slightly humid environment. The probability of showers during the daytime is estimated at 40%, categorized as a moderate chance. This indicates that showers are possible but not guaranteed, and their occurrence would likely be localized and short-lived. As the evening progresses, the chance of showers decreases to 20%, classified as a slight chance, reflecting the stabilizing influence of the high-pressure ridge and the typical diurnal cycle of convective activity.

The wind forecast predicts easterly winds at speeds ranging from 15 to 33 km/h (9 to 21 mph), with higher gusts potentially reaching 46 km/h (29 mph). These moderately strong easterly winds will contribute to the transport of moisture from over the ocean, potentially leading to the brief showers mentioned earlier. The wind direction and speed also have implications for marine conditions, as discussed below. The sustained winds and potential gusts could influence outdoor activities and may require some caution for those engaged in sensitive operations.

The sea state forecast anticipates wave heights between 1.5 and 2.1 meters (5 to 7 feet). These moderate sea conditions are likely influenced by the prevailing easterly winds. While not excessively rough, these wave heights could impact smaller vessels and require caution for recreational activities such as swimming or boating. The combined effect of the wind and sea conditions should be considered by anyone planning maritime activities during the forecast period.

The sunset is predicted to occur at 6:03 PM. This signifies the end of daylight hours and the transition to nighttime conditions. The setting sun, along with the partly cloudy skies, could create picturesque views and contribute to pleasant evening weather. Beyond its aesthetic significance, the sunset time also marks a shift in meteorological conditions, often leading to decreased temperatures and changes in wind patterns.

In summary, the forecast for the period until 8:00 AM on Sunday, January 26, 2025, predicts generally stable conditions dominated by a high-pressure ridge, resulting in partly cloudy skies with a moderate chance of brief, localized showers during the day and a slight chance during the night. Temperatures are expected to range from a high of 30°C (86°F) to a low of 21°C (70°F). Easterly winds at 15 to 33 km/h (9 to 21 mph) with gusts up to 46 km/h (29 mph) will contribute to moderate sea conditions with wave heights between 1.5 and 2.1 meters (5 to 7 feet). The sunset is expected at 6:03 PM. This detailed forecast provides valuable information for planning outdoor activities and making informed decisions based on the anticipated weather conditions.