St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast, valid until 8:00 am on Tuesday, February 11, 2025, predicts a generally pleasant day with a moderate chance of intermittent showers. The forecast highlights the influence of a large high-pressure system, which is the primary driver of the weather conditions. While this high-pressure system typically brings stable weather, the presence of moisture carried by moderate to fresh easterly winds creates the potential for scattered showers throughout the day and into the night. Temperatures are expected to be comfortable, ranging from a high of 31°C (88°F) to a low of 23°C (73°F), making it a relatively warm day.

The forecast details the probability of precipitation as a “moderate chance” during the day, quantified as a 40% likelihood of showers. This indicates that while showers are possible, they are not guaranteed, and any rainfall is likely to be scattered and relatively light. As the day progresses into the night, the chance of showers decreases to a “lower chance,” estimated at 30%. This suggests that the atmospheric conditions become slightly less favorable for shower development overnight, with a lower likelihood of precipitation compared to the daytime hours.

Wind conditions are anticipated to be brisk, coming from the east at speeds between 17 to 33 km/h (10 to 21 mph). The forecast also warns of potential gusts reaching up to 50 km/h (31 mph), indicating periods of stronger winds. These relatively strong winds, combined with the presence of moisture, contribute to the possibility of shower development. The forecast advises small craft operators to exercise caution due to moderately rough sea conditions, with wave heights predicted between 1.2 to 2.1 meters (4 to 7 feet). These wave heights, while not excessively high, could pose a challenge for smaller vessels, necessitating careful navigation.

The overall cloud cover is predicted to be “partly cloudy” throughout both the day and night. This signifies that the sky will be a mix of sunshine and cloud cover, offering periods of both clear skies and cloud-obscured periods. The transition from day to night is marked by the sunset time at 6:11 pm, followed by sunrise the next morning at 6:39 am. This provides a timeframe for the hours of darkness and the anticipated temperature drop during the night.

In summary, the forecast paints a picture of a relatively mild day with a moderate chance of passing showers. The influence of a high-pressure system, combined with moisture-laden easterly winds, creates the conditions for potential scattered rainfall. Temperatures are expected to be warm, ranging from 31°C (88°F) to 23°C (73°F). Wind conditions are predicted to be moderate to fresh, with possible gusts up to 50 km/h (31 mph), and sea conditions are expected to be moderately rough. The forecast advises small craft operators to exercise caution due to these conditions. The cloud cover will be partly cloudy throughout the day and night, with the sun setting at 6:11 pm and rising again at 6:39 am the next morning.

This forecast provides valuable information for planning activities for the period it covers. The moderate chance of showers suggests that outdoor activities may need to be flexible, with potential interruptions due to passing rain. The warm temperatures make it a generally pleasant day, but the brisk winds and potential gusts should be considered when choosing attire and planning outdoor ventures. Small craft operators particularly need to heed the cautionary advice regarding sea conditions. Overall, the forecast indicates a relatively typical day for the region, with a mix of sunshine, clouds, and the possibility of some light rainfall.