St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a 24-hour period commencing on February 13, 2025, and concluding at 8:00 am on February 14, 2025. The forecast highlights the influence of low-level moisture pockets interacting with trade winds, creating conditions conducive to shower activity. Temperatures are expected to range from a high of 30°C (86°F) to a low of 21°C (70°F). The overall atmospheric conditions are described as partly cloudy to cloudy, with varying probabilities of showers throughout the forecast period. A small craft warning is in effect due to moderately rough seas.

During the daytime hours of February 13th, the forecast anticipates partly cloudy to cloudy skies with a moderate 60% chance of brief, passing showers. These showers are most likely to occur during the morning hours. The prevailing wind direction will be from the east, with speeds ranging from 26 to 39 km/h (16 to 24 mph). These winds are expected to gust up to 52 km/h (32 mph), particularly during periods of heavier showers, over open waters, and in elevated areas. Sea conditions are predicted to be moderately rough, with wave heights ranging from 1.8 to 3.1 meters (6 to 10 feet). The sun is scheduled to set at 6:12 pm.

As the evening progresses and transitions into the night of February 13th, the cloud cover will persist, with the chance of showers increasing to a high probability of 70%. Some of these nocturnal showers may be moderate to heavy intensity and accompanied by gusty winds. The wind conditions will remain consistent with the daytime forecast, emanating from the east at 26 to 39 km/h (16 to 24 mph), with potential gusts up to 52 km/h (32 mph) in the aforementioned locations. The sea state will remain moderately rough, necessitating the continuation of the small craft warning.

The increased likelihood of showers during the night is directly attributed to the interaction between the fresh to brisk trade winds and the elevated moisture levels in the lower atmosphere. These conditions create an environment favorable for the development and intensification of shower activity. The trade winds transport moisture-laden air over the islands, leading to periods of precipitation. The intensity of the showers is expected to vary, with some potentially reaching moderate to heavy levels, particularly during the night.

The forecast emphasizes the importance of the small craft warning, which advises mariners operating small vessels to exercise extreme caution or postpone their voyages. The wave heights of 1.8 to 3.1 meters (6 to 10 feet) combined with the gusty winds pose a significant risk to small crafts. These conditions could lead to capsizing, loss of control, or structural damage to vessels not equipped to handle such rough seas. Therefore, adherence to the small craft warning is crucial for ensuring maritime safety during the forecast period.

The forecast provides essential information for planning activities during the 24-hour period. The daytime forecast of partly cloudy skies with a moderate chance of showers suggests that outdoor activities may be possible, but precautions should be taken in case of rain. The increased likelihood of heavier showers during the night warrants greater caution and preparedness. Individuals should be mindful of potential disruptions due to the weather and take appropriate measures to ensure their safety and comfort. The sunrise on February 14th is predicted for 6:37 am, marking the end of the forecast period.