St Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

Detailed Weather Forecast and Analysis for Period Ending April 1, 2025

This detailed weather forecast pertains to the 24-hour period commencing at 8:00 AM on March 31, 2025, and concluding at 8:00 AM on April 1, 2025. The dominant meteorological feature influencing the forecast region is a persistent fresh to strong wind flow, oriented from the east. This wind pattern is acting as a conveyor belt, transporting pockets of moisture into the area, leading to periods of increased cloud cover and unsettled weather conditions characterized by shower activity.

Throughout the day on March 31, 2025, the forecast anticipates partly cloudy skies, meaning that cloud cover will obscure portions of the sky but not completely overcast it. The probability of showers during the morning hours is high, estimated at 70%. This suggests a significant likelihood of rainfall occurring during this period. As the day progresses into the afternoon, the chance of showers decreases to 20%, indicating a lower probability of precipitation during the latter half of the day. This transition to drier conditions suggests a potential improvement in the overall weather situation as the day unfolds.

The eastward wind flow is expected to be sustained throughout the forecast period, with speeds ranging from 22 to 41 kilometers per hour (14 to 25 miles per hour). Furthermore, the forecast cautions of potential wind gusts reaching up to 65 kilometers per hour (40 miles per hour). These stronger gusts can exacerbate the feeling of wind chill and may pose a hazard to lightweight outdoor objects or activities sensitive to wind conditions.

Marine conditions are expected to be moderately rough, with sea heights ranging from 1.5 to 2.1 meters (5 to 8 feet). This wave height, coupled with the strong winds, warrants the continuation of a small craft advisory, particularly for open waters situated east and north of the islands. Small craft operators are advised to exercise extreme caution and to remain aware of the potential for hazardous sea conditions.

As the sun sets at 6:24 PM on March 31, 2025, the transition to nighttime conditions will bring a continuation of partly cloudy skies. While the cloud cover may persist, the chance of showers during the night is forecast to be moderate, estimated at 40%. This suggests a reasonable likelihood of rainfall during the overnight hours, but with a lower probability compared to the morning period.

The following morning, on April 1, 2025, sunrise is anticipated at 6:05 AM. The overall weather trend suggests a gradual improvement in conditions as the day progresses, transitioning from a high chance of showers in the morning to a lower chance in the afternoon, followed by a moderate chance overnight.

The temperature forecast for March 31, 2025, predicts a high of 32 degrees Celsius (90 degrees Fahrenheit) and a low of 21 degrees Celsius (70 degrees Fahrenheit). This temperature range represents a typical diurnal temperature variation for the region, with warmer temperatures during the day and cooler temperatures overnight.

In summary, the forecast period is characterized by a persistent eastward wind flow that is transporting moisture into the region, leading to periods of increased cloud cover and a chance of showers. The probability of showers is highest in the morning, decreasing into the afternoon and remaining moderate overnight. Marine conditions are moderately rough, necessitating a small craft advisory for open waters east and north of the islands. Temperatures are expected to be typical for the time of year, with a high of 32°C (90°F) and a low of 21°C (70°F). This forecast is based on the meteorological conditions observed and analyzed up to 8:00 AM on March 31, 2025, and is valid until 8:00 AM on April 1, 2025. The public is advised to stay updated on the latest weather information and to take necessary precautions in response to the forecast conditions.