St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a specific 24-hour period commencing on April 29, 2025, and concluding at 8 PM on April 30, 2025. The forecast highlights the potential for localized showers across the island region, driven by a confluence of meteorological factors. The anticipated temperature range spans from a high of 32°C (90°F) to a low of 20°C (68°F), indicating a moderately warm to hot climate during this period. The overall sky condition is expected to transition between partly cloudy and cloudy states, reflecting the anticipated shower activity.

The underlying meteorological cause for the heightened shower probability is attributed to a combination of weak instability associated with a low-level trough, light and variable winds, daytime heating, and the presence of sufficient low-level moisture. This specific atmospheric configuration creates an environment conducive to the formation and development of localized showers. These showers, while potentially impacting various parts of the islands, are not expected to be widespread or continuous, retaining a localized nature.

The forecast for the night of April 29th predicts fair to partly cloudy skies punctuated by brief cloudy spells. The chance of overnight showers is estimated at 60%, categorized as a moderate probability. This suggests that while showers are possible, they are not guaranteed and are likely to be short-lived and scattered.

The forecast for April 30th anticipates partly cloudy skies with intermittent periods of increased cloudiness. The likelihood of localized showers developing during the day rises to 70%, signifying a high probability. This implies a greater chance of experiencing showers on April 30th compared to the previous night, although their distribution will remain localized.

Wind conditions are expected to be generally light, blowing from the east-northeast at speeds ranging from 6 to 15 km/h (3 to 9 mph). The forecast also indicates the possibility of winds becoming variable or calm at times, further contributing to the localized nature of the predicted shower activity. Calm or light and variable winds hinder the widespread dispersal of moisture and precipitation, leading to more localized shower development.

Sea conditions are predicted to be relatively calm, with wave heights ranging from 1 to 1.5 meters (3 to 5 feet). This suggests favorable conditions for marine activities, barring any localized disruptions caused by shower activity. The forecast provides sunrise and sunset times for April 30th as 5:46 AM and 6:31 PM, respectively, offering a general indication of daylight hours. This information can be useful for planning outdoor activities during the forecast period.

In summary, this comprehensive weather forecast details the expected conditions for a 24-hour period across the island region. Key features include a heightened chance of localized showers, driven by atmospheric instability, available moisture, and light winds. Temperatures are expected to remain moderate to high, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies dominating the period. The forecast provides specific probabilities for shower activity, wind directions and speeds, sea conditions, and sunrise/sunset times, offering valuable insights for planning activities during this time.