St Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a specific geographic region, likely a group of islands, for a 48-hour period spanning May 3rd and 4th, 2025. The forecast highlights the influence of a low-level trough, a region of relatively low atmospheric pressure, which is introducing moisture and instability to the area. This atmospheric setup creates conditions conducive to the development of showers and thunderstorms, resulting in what is expected to be a period of unsettled weather. The forecast explicitly states its validity until 8 PM on Sunday, May 4th, 2025, emphasizing the time-sensitive nature of meteorological predictions.

The temperature forecast anticipates a relatively warm period, with a high of 31°C (88°F) and a low of 24°C (75°F). This temperature range suggests a tropical or subtropical climate. The forecast doesn’t specify whether these temperatures are diurnal variations for a single day or represent the expected temperature range over the entire forecast period. However, the context suggests they likely represent the daily temperature range expected for both days. The combination of warm temperatures and high humidity resulting from the atmospheric moisture contributes to the instability, increasing the likelihood of shower and thunderstorm development.

The dominant weather feature over the forecast period is the expectation of “partly cloudy to cloudy” conditions interspersed with “passing showers.” This implies that while overcast skies are expected, they won’t be completely uniform, and periods of sunshine are possible. The term “passing showers” suggests that the rainfall events are expected to be relatively short-lived and localized, rather than widespread and persistent. The quantitative precipitation forecast predicts rainfall totals between 5 to 15 mm (0.2 to 0.6 inches), further reinforcing the expectation of light to moderate rainfall.

The forecast further details the probability of precipitation, placing the chance of passing showers at 80% for both the night of May 3rd and the day of May 4th. This high probability underscores the likelihood of experiencing rainfall during the forecast period. In addition to showers, there’s a 30% chance of thunderstorms for both periods. This lower probability suggests that while thunderstorms are possible, they are less likely than showers. Thunderstorms, if they do develop, could bring heavier rainfall, gusty winds, and potentially lightning, adding another layer of complexity to the weather outlook.

The wind forecast predicts easterly winds with speeds ranging from 9 to 28 km/h (6 to 17 mph). This moderate wind speed, coupled with the easterly direction, provides insights into the overall atmospheric circulation patterns influencing the region. The easterly winds suggest the influence of trade winds, which are common in tropical and subtropical regions. These winds play a role in transporting moisture and influencing the development and movement of weather systems. The wind speed range indicates variability, with the potential for occasional stronger gusts.

The sea state forecast predicts wave heights of 1 to 1.5 meters (3 to 5 feet). This relatively calm sea state suggests that the winds are not expected to generate significant wave action. This information is particularly relevant for maritime activities, including boating, fishing, and coastal recreation. The calm seas also indicate that the weather system influencing the region is not expected to be particularly intense, supporting the forecast of relatively light to moderate rainfall. Finally, the forecast provides the sunrise and sunset times for May 4th: 5:44 AM and 6:32 PM, respectively. This information, although not directly related to the hazardous weather aspects of the forecast, provides context for daylight hours and is often useful for planning outdoor activities.

In summary, this comprehensive weather forecast anticipates a period of unsettled weather characterized by partly cloudy to cloudy skies, passing showers, and a chance of thunderstorms. The forecast details the anticipated temperatures, wind conditions, sea state, and probability of precipitation. The information provided allows residents and visitors to prepare for the expected weather conditions, taking precautions as necessary. The forecast’s validity period underscores the dynamic nature of weather and the importance of staying updated on the latest forecasts. The detail provided allows individuals to make informed decisions regarding outdoor activities, travel plans, and any necessary preparations for potentially inclement weather. The inclusion of sunrise and sunset times further enhances the overall utility of the forecast for planning purposes. This level of granularity in a weather forecast empowers individuals to effectively manage their activities in light of the expected meteorological conditions.