St Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a 24-hour period commencing on December 24, 2024, and concluding at 8:00 AM on December 25, 2024. The forecast predicts a partly cloudy day with a moderate chance of intermittent showers. Temperatures are expected to range from a high of 32°C (90°F) to a low of 22°C (72°F). The prevailing winds will be easterly, blowing at speeds between 19 and 34 km/h (12 and 21 mph). Sea conditions are anticipated to be moderate, with wave heights ranging from 1.2 to 2.1 meters (4 to 7 feet). The sun is expected to set at 5:44 PM. The overall atmospheric conditions are influenced by a moderate to fresh trade wind flow interacting with available low-level moisture. This combination creates the potential for scattered shower activity throughout the forecast period.

The dominant weather feature for this period is the presence of moderate to fresh trade winds. These consistent easterly winds are characteristic of the region’s climate and play a significant role in shaping the weather patterns. Trade winds typically originate from the east and are driven by the Earth’s rotation and the temperature differences between the equator and higher latitudes. They are known for their persistence and moderate strength, contributing to a generally pleasant climate. In this specific forecast, the trade winds are expected to transport moisture across the region, creating conditions conducive to shower formation.

The forecast indicates a 40% chance of passing showers during the daytime hours of December 24th. This suggests a moderate likelihood of brief, scattered rainfall events. The term “passing showers” implies that the rainfall will be relatively short-lived and localized, rather than widespread or continuous. The probability of precipitation is influenced by the available low-level moisture interacting with the prevailing trade winds. This combination creates instability in the atmosphere, leading to the development of convective clouds and subsequent showers.

As the day transitions into night, the probability of showers decreases to 20%. This suggests a slight chance of rainfall during the nighttime hours. The reduced likelihood of precipitation during the night can be attributed to the cooling of the atmosphere, which stabilizes the air and reduces the potential for convective activity. While some isolated showers may still occur, they are expected to be less frequent and intense than during the daytime.

The forecast specifies sea conditions with wave heights ranging from 1.2 to 2.1 meters (4 to 7 feet). These conditions are considered moderate and suitable for most marine activities. The wave heights are influenced by the strength of the trade winds and the overall sea state. While the seas are not expected to be particularly rough, mariners should exercise caution and be aware of the potential for changing conditions. Small craft operators, in particular, should be mindful of the wave heights and adjust their plans accordingly.

In summary, the forecast for the 24-hour period beginning on December 24, 2024, predicts partly cloudy conditions with a moderate chance of passing showers during the day, transitioning to a slight chance of showers at night. Temperatures will be warm, ranging from a high of 32°C (90°F) to a low of 22°C (72°F). Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds will prevail, and sea conditions will be moderate with wave heights between 1.2 and 2.1 meters (4 and 7 feet). The sunset is anticipated at 5:44 PM. This forecast provides a comprehensive overview of the expected weather conditions, allowing individuals to plan their activities accordingly.