St. Kitts and Nevis Meteorological Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to a 24-hour period commencing on Christmas Day, December 25, 2024, and concluding at 8:00 am on Thursday, December 26, 2024. The forecast highlights the dominant influence of a high-pressure system originating from the Atlantic Ocean, coupled with low humidity and the pervasive presence of Saharan dust. This combination of meteorological factors creates a stable atmospheric environment that significantly inhibits the likelihood of shower activity throughout the forecast period. The anticipated weather conditions are characterized by partly sunny skies obscured by haze, reflecting the impact of the dust plume. The probability of showers is minimal, estimated at a slight 10 percent chance for both daytime and nighttime periods.

The forecast indicates a temperature range typical of a tropical or subtropical climate. The high temperature is predicted to reach 31 degrees Celsius (88 degrees Fahrenheit), while the low is expected to dip to a comfortable 23 degrees Celsius (73 degrees Fahrenheit). This moderate temperature variation, coupled with the low humidity, suggests a generally pleasant, albeit hazy, Christmas Day. The presence of the Saharan dust, however, introduces a significant caveat to the otherwise agreeable weather conditions. The dust plume, described as thick, is expected to contribute to reduced visibility and compromised air quality. Individuals with respiratory sensitivities may experience discomfort or require precautions during this period.

The wind forecast predicts easterly winds with speeds ranging from 15 to 28 kilometers per hour (9 to 17 miles per hour), which are moderate and unlikely to cause significant disruption. These easterly winds contribute to the transport of the Saharan dust across the forecast area. The marine forecast predicts relatively calm seas with wave heights between 1.2 and 1.8 meters (4 to 6 feet), suggesting favorable conditions for small craft and recreational activities. These calm sea conditions further reinforce the overall stability of the atmospheric environment influenced by the high-pressure system.

The forecast also provides information regarding sunset and sunrise times. Sunset on December 25th is predicted to occur at 5:45 pm, marking the end of the daylight hours. Sunrise the following morning, December 26th, is expected at 6:38 am, heralding the start of a new day with similar weather conditions. These timings suggest a relatively short period of daylight, typical of the winter solstice period in the Northern Hemisphere.

In summary, the forecast paints a picture of a stable and predominantly dry Christmas Day and early morning of December 26th. The prevailing influence of the Atlantic high-pressure system, combined with low humidity, suppresses shower activity. The primary weather feature of note is the presence of a significant Saharan dust plume, which will result in hazy conditions, reduced visibility, and potentially compromised air quality. Temperatures are expected to be moderate, with a high of 31°C (88°F) and a low of 23°C (73°F). Moderate easterly winds and relatively calm seas round out the forecast, providing a comprehensive overview of the expected meteorological conditions.

The overarching message of this forecast is one of stable and predominantly dry weather, punctuated by the impact of Saharan dust. While the temperatures are pleasant and the winds and seas are calm, the haze and potential air quality issues associated with the dust are significant considerations. Residents and visitors should be aware of the potential impact on visibility and respiratory health and take necessary precautions. This forecast provides valuable information for planning outdoor activities and managing potential health concerns related to the dust plume.