St. Kitts and Nevis Weather Forecast

This detailed weather forecast pertains to the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands, specifically for the period from the afternoon of July 2nd, 2025, until 8 PM on July 3rd, 2025. The forecast highlights the influence of low-level convergence, a meteorological phenomenon where air masses from different directions converge, leading to upward motion and the formation of clouds and precipitation. In this case, the convergence is expected to trigger brief, passing showers across the islands over the forecast period. Temperature-wise, the forecast anticipates a high of 34°C (93°F) and a low of 23°C (73°F), indicating a relatively warm day and a comfortably cool night.

The prevailing weather conditions are characterized as partly cloudy, suggesting a mix of sunshine and cloud cover. The chance of showers is estimated at 40%, categorized as a moderate probability. This indicates that while showers are possible, they are not guaranteed, and their duration is likely to be short. This partly cloudy condition with a moderate chance of showers is expected to persist throughout both the night of July 2nd and the day of July 3rd.

The wind forecast predicts easterly winds with speeds ranging from 13 to 26 km/h (8 to 16 mph). These moderately strong winds will likely contribute to a slightly breezy environment, potentially influencing the sea state. Accordingly, the sea conditions are forecast to be moderately calm, with wave heights ranging from 1.2 to 1.8 meters (4 to 6 feet). These conditions suggest relatively safe sea travel for smaller vessels, though caution should still be exercised.

The forecast also provides sunrise and sunset times for July 3rd, with sunrise expected at 5:41 AM and sunset at 6:49 PM. This information is helpful for planning outdoor activities and provides an indication of daylight hours. Overall, the forecast paints a picture of relatively pleasant weather conditions with a chance of brief, passing showers, moderate temperatures, and manageable sea conditions.

To elaborate further on the meteorological factors at play, the low-level convergence acts as the primary driver of the predicted shower activity. This convergence forces air upwards, leading to cooling and condensation, ultimately resulting in the formation of clouds and precipitation. The partly cloudy conditions suggest that while the convergence will generate some shower activity, it won’t completely obscure the sky. The moderate 40% chance of showers further underscores the intermittent nature of the expected rainfall.

The easterly winds are typical for this region and time of year, often associated with the trade wind pattern. These winds originate from a high-pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean and blow towards the lower pressure areas over the islands. The wind speeds of 13 to 26 km/h are considered moderate and should not pose any significant disruption to daily activities. The sea state, influenced by the wind, remains relatively calm, with wave heights suitable for most marine activities. The sunrise and sunset times reflect the Earth’s position in its orbit around the sun and the specific latitude of the islands. This information provides a useful reference point for planning daily schedules.

In conclusion, the weather forecast for the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands for July 2nd and 3rd, 2025, predicts generally favorable conditions with a chance of brief showers. The combination of partly cloudy skies, moderate temperatures, manageable winds, and relatively calm seas suggests suitable weather for various outdoor activities, while remaining mindful of the possibility of passing showers. The forecast reflects the typical weather patterns observed in this region during this time of year, characterized by trade winds, occasional shower activity, and warm temperatures. The provided information empowers residents and visitors to plan their activities accordingly, whether it’s enjoying the beach, exploring the islands, or engaging in water sports, while taking into account the potential for brief showers.